Global Temperature January 2018

Notice:  the graph in this post has been moved to the Monthly Trends page accessible in the menu bar at the top of this page, where it will be updated monthly rather than by monthly posts.

Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) monthly global surface temperature anomaly estimates for 2014 through January 2018 from the University of Maine Climate Change Institute (UM CCI) and from WeatherBELL (WxBELL) are graphed below along with monthly global temperature anomaly estimates for the lower troposphere derived from satellite measurements provided by the University of Alabama at Huntsville (UAH).  The UM CCI CFSR estimates have been adjusted (UM adj), while the WxBELL CFSR estimates have been left unadjusted to show the difference.  The UM CCI CFSR adjusted monthly estimates for June through December 2017 are based on final daily averages and the estimate for January 2018 is based on preliminary daily averages.  Most likely the UM CCI January estimate will drop by about 0.10C once final daily averages for January are released. The UM CCI January preliminary estimate at +0.36C was down by 0.04C from December while the WxBELL estimate at +0.26C was down by 0.13C and the UAH estimate also at +0.26C was down by 0.15C. Click on the graph below to see a larger copy.

Also shown for comparison are monthly global temperature anomaly estimates from six other major sources, including lower tropospheric estimates from the Remote Sensing Systems (RSS), and surface estimates from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) Reanalysis Interim adjusted (ERAI adj), US National Center for Environmental Information (NCEI), US National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Goddard Institute of Space Studies (GISS), the UK Hadley Climate Research Unit Temperature (CRUT), and the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST), all final through December 2017. All estimates have been shifted to the latest climatological reference period 1981-2010.

Update 2018 February 6

Final January 2018 global temperature anomaly estimates from RSS for lower troposphere and ERAI adj for surface have been added to the graph.   Both showed decreases from December 2017 to January 2018, with RSS down 0.04C,  and ERAI adj down 0.14C.

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